Re: She's looked pretty good overnight
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 6/2/2016, 7:26 am
On the Wundermap you can add the weather stations and the wind is at least rather low based on the obs I see on it. (maybe there are higher obs elsewhere) But it will be interesting to watch as it pulls away. It certainly has enough organization it seems. If the wind comes up, maybe the NHC will start advisories again. I don't really know if there is an unofficial minimum wind speed you need for a depression. Usually when it has organization, they start advisories when the wind is around 30 to 35 mph. I don't know if they have under 30mph before, or re-initiate advisories lower than that.
It seems like the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has been issuing advisories for quite awhile now.
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/tropstorms.shtml
I thought it was kind of unique, but after looking they did that for quite awhile last year with Bill.
I was looking yesterday and the 5am advisory then had winds of 10 mph, moving at 8mph. That is just pure weird. I assume they do winds like the NHC, factoring in storm movement. On land, winds would be low based on its movement along the coast. Higher winds would be offshore on the other side of the storm. Although at the time best track data was higher. ( http://hurricanecity.com/models/models.cgi?basin=al&year=2016&storm=92&latestinvest=1 ) Maybe WPC went by the highest they saw on land and went with that, rather than what the winds were on the other side over water.
As of 5am this morning, the WPC had winds at 20mph, moving to the ENE at 9mph. (although best track data has it at 30mph)
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022016
500 AM EDT THU JUN 02 2016
...CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS MOVING OVER THE NORTH
CAROLINA OUTER BANKS...HEAVY RAIN THREAT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.0N 75.7W
ABOUT 14 MILES...23 KM...S OF HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...32 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A FLOOD WATCH AND FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR A SMALL PORTION
OF THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.0 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 75.7
WEST. ..OR ABOUT 15 MILES SOUTH OF HATTERAS...NORTH CAROLINA.
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR COMPOSITE SHOW THAT
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE HAS CONTINUED A FORWARD
EAST-NORTHEAST MOTION DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS AS IT MOVES OVER
THE OUTER BANKS. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUOY OBSERVATIONS HAVE
MEASURED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
BOTH SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND DOPPLER RADAR HAVE INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS IN SOME OF THE RAIN BANDS TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE LOW. IN ADDITION...LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN BANDS
WERE MOVING ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE MOVING OVER THE OUTER BANKS ON THURSDAY...AND WILL MOVE
OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BY THURSDAY NIGHT. THE CHANCE OF
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE REDEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IS LOW. THE MAIN THREAT WITH BONNIE CONTINUES TO BE
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA
THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE IS ALSO A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH
THURSDAY. THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR
LOCAL FLASH FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY
SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 2 AM EDT
...DELAWARE...
WILMINGTON 2 NW 2.23
GLASGOW 2.01
NEW CASTLE 1.94
TOWNSEND 1.86
KITTS HUMMOCK 1.82
PORT PENN 1.64
WOODSIDE 1.57
PRICES CORNER 1.57
DOVER AFB 1.50
GEORGETOWN/SUSSEX CO ARPT 1.43
...GEORGIA...
BURTONS FERRY LANDING 8.85
OLIVER 2 SW 7.74
MARLOW 7.46
NEWINGTON 1 S 4.92
BLICHTON 1 ESE 4.62
ROCKY FORD 1 SSW 4.07
AUGUSTA/BUSH FIELD 2.69
SAVANNAH MUNI ARPT 1.57
...MASSACHUSETTS...
PLYMOUTH MUNI ARPT 2.31
NEW BEDFORD MUNI ARPT 1.59
TAUNTON MUNI ARPT 1.21
BOSTON/LOGAN 1.13
...MARYLAND...
GALENA 3.51
CARVILLE 3 W 3.35
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 2.77
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 1.38
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS 1.31
...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP 9.99
MAYSVILLE 7.5 SSE 5.42
BUXTON 1.0 ESE 5.12
HOLDEN BEACH 0.6 E 4.87
VARNAMTOWN 1.3 SSW 3.71
FAYETTEVILLE 1.6 WSW 3.29
ERWIN/HARNETT COUNTY ARPT 2.50
RALEIGH/DURHAM INTL ARPT 2.45
SOUTHPORT/BRUNSWIC 2.20
NEW BERN/CRAVEN CO. ARPT 2.17
LAURINBURG-MAXTON ARPT 2.07
WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER CO ARPT 1.70
JACKSONVILLE/ELLIS ARPT 1.50
FORT BRAGG/FAYETTEVILLE 1.47
CHAPEL HILL/WILLIAMS ARPT 1.34
...NEW JERSEY...
HAMILTON TOWNSHIP 4.52
EAST WINDSOR TWP 3.91
WESTAMPTON TWP 3.50
TRENTON 5 ESE 3.16
SPRINGDALE 3 W 3.14
MOUNT HOLLY WFO 3.08
SEWELL 2.93
TURNERSVILLE 2 S 2.76
MATAWAN 1 WSW 2.76
TOTTENVILLE 8 S 2.52
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AIRPORT 1.81
NEWARK INTL ARPT 1.60
...NEW YORK...
NEW YORK CITY 1.65
NEW YORK/LA GUARDIA 1.53
...PENNSYLVANIA...
JONAS 3.49
POHOPOCO CREEK 3.09
KRESGEVILLE 3.08
PALMERTON 6 ENE 3.00
WALNUTPORT 2.70
DREXEL HILL 2.51
PHILADELPHIA/NE PHIL. ARPT 2.35
PITTSBURGH/ALLEGHENY CO. ARPT 2.32
NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA 2.30
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 1.51
...RHODE ISLAND...
PROVIDENCE/PO WARWICK 1.50
WESTERLY STATE ARPT 1.35
NEWPORT 1.33
...SOUTH CAROLINA...
RIDGELAND 5.8 ESE 10.43
VARNVILLE 6.7 SW 9.03
NORTH CHARLESTON 2.6 NW 8.61
BRUNSON 1.6 SSW 6.45
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW 6.44
JOHNS ISLAND 4 SE 6.24
ALLENDALE 1 S 6.14
HENDERSONVILLE 6.11 6.11
CALAWASSIE ISLAND 6.05
CHARLESTON AIRPORT 5.27
BEAUFORT 2 N 4.60
...VIRGINIA...
WAKEFIELD MUNI ARPT 2.88
RICHMOND 2.35
WALLOPS ISLAND 2.02
NORFOLK NAS 1.87
TINKER CREEK 1.39
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON 1.24
PETERSBURG 1.21
BUCHANAN 1 WNW 1.02
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1100 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER FANNING
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 02/0900Z 35.0N 75.7W
12HR VT 02/1800Z 34.6N 75.5W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 03/0600Z 34.9N 75.1W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
First visible images of the day coming in:
http://hurricanecity.com/custom-satellite/?satellite=GOES-E+CONUS&type=Animation&numframes=10&width=600&height=550&info=vis&zoom=1&palette=&quality=55&map=standard&mapcolor=black&lat=35.5&lon=-74.5 |
78
In this thread:
Bonnie is no more...maybe... -
AquaRN,
5/30/2016, 4:31 pm Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.