Re: 00Z Euro Coming In
Posted by
Gambit7 on 9/6/2017, 2:46 am
It'd be a nice run of the Euro if they'd manually re-initialize the storm to <900mb over the straights and then run the model. A 30+mb difference would make the storm behave quite differently around the edge of that ridge, barring any ERC's and wobbles (which will definitely take place 3-days from now).
Something tells me that might be what NHC is partly assuming. If I were them, I'd use the 3-day Euro with the 5-day GFS and split the differences. That'd likely put Irma more so over Ragged Island rather than up into Long Island and a bit further along in its track.
Unfortunately, that brings it ashore dangerously close to Miami. Not wishcasting, but that's the deal. I highly doubt NHC adjust their track in the morning to send Irma over Bimini. That's not happening. Maybe they'll just make the probability bubble larger? |
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In this thread:
00Z Euro Coming In -
Gambit7,
9/6/2017, 2:06 am- Re: 00Z Euro Coming In - beachman80, 9/6/2017, 2:13 pm
- Re: 12z GFS - canebuddy, 9/6/2017, 12:27 pm
- Re: 00Z Euro Coming In - Big Scott 76, 9/6/2017, 9:47 am
- Re: 00Z Euro Coming In - Chucktowner, 9/6/2017, 5:53 am
- Am I reading Euro 00Z Right on Strength - Stedwoo, 9/6/2017, 3:06 am
- Re: 00Z Euro Coming In - Chris in Tampa, 9/6/2017, 2:49 am
- Re: 00Z Euro Coming In - stevemc12, 9/6/2017, 2:40 am
- Re: 00Z Euro Coming In - stevemc12, 9/6/2017, 2:37 am
- Re: 00Z Euro Coming In - Big Scott 76, 9/6/2017, 2:22 am
- Re: 00Z Euro Coming In - Beachlover, 9/6/2017, 2:13 am
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