GFS Shear and Dry Water Vapor Loop
Posted by Target on 9/10/2017, 2:41 am
The more I post here, the more I am humble about my ability to forecast a storm.
So I try to leave it up to models.
The GFS model may do for now:









Large storms like Irma may be a bit more protected from dry air ruining the core.
But lately, I just leave it to the models, most of the time.
In 2005 I would look at this water vapor loop before any other images to forecast a new storm:

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Irma Hasn't Restrenghened...Yet - CX, 9/9/2017, 10:56 pm
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