Raw recon indicates Dorian is strengthening
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/28/2019, 12:29 am
In the NE quadrant around 12:01 to 12:03am AST:

Highest Flight Level Wind (30 sec. Avg.): 52 knots (60 mph)
Highest Peak (10 sec. Avg.) Flight Level Wind: 54 knots (62mph)
Highest SFMR Peak (10s Avg.) Sfc. Wind: 57 knots (66 mph) ... Measured twice in a row

That's the first 50+ knot winds at flight level measured in the storm. Given the SFMR values were very close to where the flight level winds were, I wouldn't count them out as unrepresentative. Usually flight level winds are higher, but the rain rate was only 0.16 to 0.20 in/hr at the time so I wouldn't call them rain contaminated. I don't know what the NHC will go with it, but I would imagine they will bump them up at 2am AST, maybe to 55 knots. (which in advisory would be 60mph)
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Dorian at 11pm AST Tuesday: 50mph; 1006mb; NW at 13mph - Chris in Tampa, 8/27/2019, 11:11 pm
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