from admin on local wx board
Posted by cypresstx on 6/1/2020, 4:22 pm
Models are starting to come into a better consensus on what may happen here in the synoptic flow later this weekend into early next week. Late this week across the SE United States a trough will exit the region allowing for strong ridging to form across the Central United States. 93L gets trapped under the ridging and pushes west before ridging gradually pushes east. The main questions for track here will be how long does a weakness stick across the SE united states before ridging takes control of the mean flow. As for intensity, the GFS shows about 30kts of shear across the Central Gulf over the weekend. Paired with the larger size of this storm, it may take a while for organization to occur. I suspect a TD or TS will be the likely outcome and as is often with these early season storms landfall location will be crucial. Areas west of the center may not see much precip at all. A lot to watch over the coming week.
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Cwntral American Gyre - cypresstx, 5/29/2020, 7:09 pm
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