the part that worries me
Posted by cypresstx on 8/25/2020, 5:51 am
The majority of the guidance has shifted a notable distance to the west on this run, perhaps due to a weaker trough over Texas and a more westward initial position of Laura (possibly due to persistent northerly mid-level shear). The new NHC prediction is at the eastern edge of the new guidance envelope since I don't want to bite off on such a large change on just one set of model runs. But since the storm has been tracking west of forecast expectations for quite some time, future westward track adjustments could be required later today.

traffic and stores and gas stations will suck today, as 5 million ppl freak out
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4am CDT Tuesday: 65mph; Laura now forecast to become a major hurricane over the northwestern Gulf - Chris in Tampa, 8/25/2020, 5:01 am
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