CaneTalk: Huge jump in SOI, EPAC system winding down

Huge jump in SOI, EPAC system winding down

Posted by Mike_Doran on 6/26/2009, 3:48 pm

11-Jun-2009 1008.89 1014.65 -49.56 -5.68 -0.79
12-Jun-2009 1010.47 1014.40 -36.69 -6.61 -1.21
13-Jun-2009 1012.00 1013.50 -19.61 -7.54 -1.40
14-Jun-2009 1012.43 1012.80 -11.67 -8.38 -1.58
15-Jun-2009 1013.93 1011.90 5.20 -8.53 -1.55
16-Jun-2009 1014.44 1012.30 5.97 -8.01 -1.44
17-Jun-2009 1014.00 1014.10 -9.77 -7.68 -1.50
18-Jun-2009 1013.53 1015.15 -20.46 -7.56 -1.76
19-Jun-2009 1012.26 1014.35 -23.76 -7.86 -2.07
20-Jun-2009 1011.70 1013.20 -19.61 -8.34 -2.34
21-Jun-2009 1012.10 1012.40 -11.18 -8.35 -2.49
22-Jun-2009 1014.03 1011.80 6.61 -7.64 -2.45
23-Jun-2009 1014.41 1011.55 11.04 -6.89 -2.31
24-Jun-2009 1014.76 1011.70 12.44 -6.19 -2.05
25-Jun-2009 1015.86 1011.65 20.53 -5.43 -1.68
26-Jun-2009 1016.25 1011.40 25.02 -4.61 -1.35

This btw is a huge jump in the SOI index from minus 49 to positive 25. Just massive jump. Regional potential differences really support this storm. Space weather was juiced a few days ago, and inhibiting solar winds are well under 500 km/second. The EPAC storm that might have robbed the electron precip and displacement currents is weakened.

Pac high is forecast to really blow up this weekend, which I think is meaningful, too.

My preseason call was for a Texas storm. Anyone tracking it go go there?

In this thread:

Models on a possible GOM System next week - JAC, 6/26/2009, 8:02 am

Anti-cyclone reformed to the SE, Circulation at top of Boundary Layer - JAC, 6/27/2009, 1:52 am
GFDL & HWRF - JAC, 6/26/2009, 8:04 pm
- Expect a deeper TC if this tracks further north toward the Panhandle - JAC, 6/26/2009, 8:15 pm
  - HWRF (120mph) - Target, 6/26/2009, 10:13 pm
    - Re: HWRF (120mph) - Anung Mwka, 6/27/2009, 10:13 am
    - Yikes! - JAC, 6/27/2009, 1:29 am
    - Re: HWRF - Chris_in_Tampa, 6/26/2009, 10:45 pm
      - Here's intensity guidance - JAC, 6/27/2009, 1:38 am
        Quite the model spread - skip_wiley, 6/27/2009, 10:10 am
      - Re: HWRF - Target, 6/26/2009, 11:06 pm
UL Winds pushing convection SE of LLC - JAC, 6/26/2009, 6:02 pm
- MIMIC-TPW - JAC, 6/26/2009, 7:52 pm
  - LI's down to -12 over the Yucatan - JAC, 6/26/2009, 9:54 pm
Re: Models on a possible GOM System next week - Hurricane Ranger, 6/26/2009, 5:03 pm
Re: Models on a possible GOM System next week - rbc, 6/26/2009, 4:34 pm
LLC Analysis just in - looks good - closed off - JAC, 6/26/2009, 3:15 pm
- Huge jump in SOI, EPAC system winding down - Mike_Doran, 6/26/2009, 3:48 pm
  - Re: Huge jump in SOI, EPAC system winding down - CX, 6/26/2009, 3:53 pm
    - Re: Huge jump in SOI, EPAC system winding down - JAC, 6/26/2009, 4:09 pm
Re: Models on a possible GOM System next week - BobbiStorm, 6/26/2009, 2:53 pm
- Re: Models on a possible GOM System next week - JAC, 6/26/2009, 2:59 pm
Kicked up a notch - ORANGE BOX - JAC, 6/26/2009, 1:56 pm
- Cirrus canopy at 55K-ft - JAC, 6/26/2009, 2:01 pm
  - Re: Cirrus canopy at 55K-ft - BobbiStorm, 6/26/2009, 2:08 pm
    - Re: Cirrus canopy at 55K-ft - JAC, 6/26/2009, 2:16 pm
      - Watch for a white bulls-eye on Funktop - JAC, 6/26/2009, 2:27 pm
        dvorak - BobbiStorm, 6/26/2009, 2:50 pm
        Re: dvorak LINK sorry - BobbiStorm, 6/26/2009, 2:50 pm
Early Guidance is cutting it close - JAC, 6/26/2009, 12:37 pm
- 12Z GFS takes it through the channel - JAC, 6/26/2009, 1:14 pm
  - am i right on the gfs? - BobbiStorm, 6/26/2009, 2:12 pm
    - Re: am i right on the gfs? - JAC, 6/26/2009, 2:18 pm
- Seeing vorticity at 500mb for the ULL and 93L - JAC, 6/26/2009, 12:51 pm
Loop-current warmer than usual for this time of year - JAC, 6/26/2009, 10:44 am
ULL to the NW at 20N 89W - JAC, 6/26/2009, 10:00 am
- Re: ULL to the NW at 20N 89W - BobbiStorm, 6/26/2009, 10:42 am
- Re: ULL to the NW at 20N 89W - sandy, 6/26/2009, 10:42 am
- Re: ULL to the NW at 20N 89W - sandy, 6/26/2009, 10:35 am
- QSCAT - JAC, 6/26/2009, 10:27 am
93L - JAC, 6/26/2009, 8:38 am
- Winds shifting around - JAC, 6/26/2009, 1:06 pm
- Well stacked - JAC, 6/26/2009, 12:58 pm
- Great Warm-Core Inversion with Anti-Cyclone Overhead - JAC, 6/26/2009, 11:07 am
  - Re: Great Warm-Core Inversion with Anti-Cyclone Overhead - BobbiStorm, 6/26/2009, 11:43 am
    - Re: Great Warm-Core Inversion with Anti-Cyclone Overhead - JAC, 6/26/2009, 12:15 pm
      - from my 'nerdy NASA" emails - 93L - CypressTX, 6/26/2009, 2:53 pm
      - Here's the Refs - JAC, 6/26/2009, 12:32 pm
- SCATs - JAC, 6/26/2009, 9:02 am
  - NADA on QSCAT - JAC, 6/26/2009, 9:37 am
- Yucatan Buoy Watch - JAC, 6/26/2009, 8:48 am
- Cu-tops at 55K-ft - JAC, 6/26/2009, 8:44 am
  - Re: Cu-tops at 55K-ft - BobbiStorm, 6/26/2009, 10:50 am
    - Re: Cu-tops at 55K-ft - JAC, 6/26/2009, 10:56 am
  - Very heavy rain-rate - JAC, 6/26/2009, 9:40 am
  - Big overshooting Cu-Nimb on VIS - JAC, 6/26/2009, 9:18 am
Forecast Air Conditions - JAC, 6/26/2009, 8:32 am
- TUTT north of Hispaniola on Thursday - JAC, 6/26/2009, 9:27 am
Don't even think about a landfall target yet - JAC, 6/26/2009, 8:10 am
- Re: Don't even think about a landfall target yet - BobbiStorm, 6/26/2009, 10:54 am

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