Re: ST Melor to be slowing down.
Posted by
hanna on 10/5/2009, 8:26 pm
Latest from JMA
TY 0918 (Melor)
Issued at 21:45 UTC, 5 October 2009
Analyses at 05/21 UTC
Scale -
Intensity Very Intense
Center position N21°50'(21.8°)
E132°05'(132.1°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 920hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(105kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 75m/s(150kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more Wide 170km(90NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more NE560km(300NM)
SW390km(210NM)
Forecast for 06/09 UTC
Intensity Very Intense
Center position of probability circle N24°00'(24.0°)
E130°40'(130.7°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW 25km/h(13kt)
Central pressure 920hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(105kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 75m/s(150kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area Wide 260km(140NM)
Forecast for 06/21 UTC
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N26°20'(26.3°)
E130°25'(130.4°)
Direction and speed of movement N 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 925hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(100kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(140kt)
Radius of probability circle 150km(80NM)
Storm warning area Wide 300km(160NM)
Forecast for 07/18 UTC
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N31°20'(31.3°)
E133°25'(133.4°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 30km/h(16kt)
Central pressure 935hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(95kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(135kt)
Radius of probability circle 330km(180NM)
Storm warning area Wide 460km(250NM)
Forecast for 08/18 UTC
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N37°20'(37.3°)
E139°20'(139.3°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 35km/h(19kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 460km(250NM)
Storm warning area Wide 520km(280NM)
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In this thread:
Melor the Monster - a solid Cat5, 914mb and dropping -
JAC,
10/3/2009, 9:25 pm- Forecast now is for Cat2 at landfall near Hamamatsu - JAC, 10/6/2009, 7:27 am
- Possible Cat1 hit for Tokyo - shear dropping along forecasted track - JAC, 10/5/2009, 7:27 am
- Now 8C Core - still Cat5 - JAC, 10/5/2009, 7:17 am
- Jim Edds chasing Melor on Saipan - JAC, 10/4/2009, 10:07 pm
- Over 24 Hrs at Cat 5 - JAC, 10/4/2009, 9:25 pm
- Latest JTWC: 145 knot winds - JAC, 10/3/2009, 10:31 pm
- EURO shows direct hit on Japan - JAC, 10/3/2009, 10:27 pm
- A super hot-tower on the eyewall - JAC, 10/3/2009, 10:05 pm
- Could start eating dry air in about 24 hrs - JAC, 10/3/2009, 9:57 pm
- That's Hot - CX, 10/3/2009, 9:45 pm
- Continuing to Intensify - strong 37GHz Ring - JAC, 10/3/2009, 9:41 pm
- Strongest Outflow Channel is Equatorward - JAC, 10/3/2009, 9:38 pm
- Still Shooting Hot Towers in Feeder Bands - JAC, 10/3/2009, 9:36 pm
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