Re: 25 to go ....
Posted by chucky7777 on 5/6/2010, 4:29 am
Well, just in case we have a season like i suspect, I am  now upgrading from a hurricane kit to a mini-mart,
....ok that was a little over the top but you get the idea, i am serious upgrading my supplies.,  I think we will see an active and quite threatening hurricane season in my opinion  At this point in time,There are many many signs i notice that would lead me to my assumptions, : First, El Nino is toast, transition of the atmosphere to reflect Neutral/la Nina conditions should be complete by the height of the season with lower than average wind shear,a wetter Sahel region of Africa reducing the dust ( SAL) coming off the African Continent, The SST's speak for themselves it won't be long before the GOM joins the rest of the Atlantic and Caribbean with warm water temps ,and if i am correct in my observation,the A/B High is currently further south and  weaker than normal, of course there is  much uncertainty in regards to position and strength of this high as it does fluctuate throughout the season and i may be way off base in where it is currently located, but if it ends up being semi permanent in the right strength and location  chances are  lower for recurvature and the threat will be higher forthe Caribbean, Bahamas, coastal areas of the Gulf of Mexico.Florida could really be under the gun,any way just my thoughts and opinion on what may lay ahead for Hurricane Season 2010....Wow now that i have read my own post i think i will take it with a grain of salt lol..... my opinion is a tad bit gloomy, i hope i'm wrong, also i'm sorry for the long post ...........
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25 to go .... - LawKat, 5/5/2010, 9:35 am
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