Re: Latest GFS Model Has Earl As A Major Hurricane Just Off The Virginia Coast In 168 Hours
Posted by
Gianmarc on 8/28/2010, 9:51 pm
Well we all know it "happens" Bobbi LOL!
What's far more interesting and a bit underappreciated (to me, at least) is just how many storms come close to being the next "big one" for the northeast, only to curve out to sea.
As a guy who grew up in Brooklyn, NY, fascinated by weather since the days of Gloria in 1985, I remember dozens of instances in which storms that headed north of 35N looked for a second like the next northeast 'cane and before you could blink they were going fishing.
It amazes me when you consider just how many storms end up in the vicinity of 35N 75W and recurve--about 97% of them.
Not since 1821 has a hurricane struck NYC. That's 180 years. When you understand how vulnerable the NY Metro area really is to the dangers of hurricane season, that is a truly incredible stat. The weird thing is that that storm struck just 6 years after the "Great September Gale" of 1815 struck Long Island/New England. And yet at that time a 'cane had not taken that route since 1635--also incredible.
Only five major hurricanes have struck New England since that 1635 storm. That's five storms in 375 hurricane seasons. |
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