Bogus, bogus, bogus!
Posted by Tim_NC on 3/24/2011, 10:40 pm
1.) Until attacked and forced into modern civilization, North American Indians were a stone age people. And when you think about it, it's really quite amazing that a civilization could thrive in North America for thousands of years without ever figuring out how to create metals.)

North American Indians had many good ideas and practices which we today romanticize; but they also had many bad ideas and practices which we conveniently forget. Anyone with the notion that North America was inhabited by nature-loving saintly people needs to get that idea out of their heads pronto.

Now I know some people believe in prophesies. Heck, people have believed in prophesies since the dawn of civilization. In the stone age we had our Indians and others around the world; in the bronze age we had Christianity and other religions and tribes around the world; in the Middle Ages we had Nostradamus and other such seers; and still today this club with no boundaries thrives.

That no one can know what's not yet happened should be simple and obvious to anyone....yet it's not. Why is this so?

It is so because our brains, though excellent at pattern recognition, are simply dreadful performers when trying to figure out cause and effect. In the ever so slow process of evolution, this is where we stand today. Evolution says - it's a lot more important to survival to know WHAT is going on than WHY it's going on.

Throughout history, anyone who could figure out the "whys" had a status jump on the rest. And we can think of these people as the earliest scientists (though in reality they were medicine men, philosophers, priests, shamans, and what not.)

At any given time, many people are guessing the future; or "prophesying" if you will. By the laws of mathematics we know some of them will make correct or fairly correct guesses by mere chance (fairly correct being all the brain needs to feed upon.) Others will get there by making "educated guesses" based on having some knowledge the average person wouldn't have.

It's easy to fool people. And being we all naturally employ "selective memory", it's especially easy to fool people with prophesy. Who remembers the billions of prophesies throughout history that went unfulfilled? How many older prophesies have been "adjusted" through time to make them appear more correct? And so on....

2.) One can only wonder how many earthquake forecasts the guy in the video has made in his career. And how many others are doing the same? And when one pays attention to the video one finds he uses standard pseudo-science-speak; "keep an eye on this area for something on the horizon." Huh? Leaving such a huge opening to all our world's events, it's not implausible to get a hit every once in a while. And when you have half a dozen of these openings running 24/7 365 one is just about guaranteed a hit (or multiple hits.)

If you notice again in the video, this guy had his doors open over several of the world's earthquake-prone areas. Japan, California and Asia (easy targets) with two kickers - Australia and the Canary Islands which if either turned out to be hits would promote him to the head of the pseudo-science class. Smart cookie!

Bottom line:

The guy had no clue which of Earth's faults would next snap (no one does); but by covering a large chunk of the planet's earthquake-prone zones, with a time specification of "on the horizon", well.....jeez, something happened; and even though it was outside all the zones he covered...he's getting credit for his nonsense.

We all agree on the WHAT....but we fall into assorted camps on the WHY....because our brains are so doggone poor at analyzing "cause and effect."

And there's never anything wrong with admitting one doesn't know WHY.

Tim in NC












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