12Z GFS - Poof
Posted by JAC on 6/24/2011, 2:59 pm
Need to really watch what the convection does over the Yucatan.

Looks like GFS is resolving heavier convection to the south creating an anti-cyclone.

That in turn works in conjunction with the Bahama TUTT to create an UL Jet over the wave and hence high shear.

In reality, need to really see what happens to convection if fires over the Yucatan and how strong it is.



http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevpage=Param&MainPage=index&image=&page=Param&cycle=06%2F24%2F2011+12UTC&rname=UPPER+AIR+PARMS&pname=850_vort_ht&model=GFS&area=ATLANTIC&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&areaDesc=Atlantic+region&fcast=Loop+All
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Another Shot for the BOC? - JAC, 6/22/2011, 7:04 am
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