Re: P10L becomes 91L in mid-Atlantic
Posted by Shalista on 7/29/2011, 10:29 am
Here's my forcast for the next 48 hrs...

91L will struggle to develop as it will be contending with dray air as it moves forward according to the WV loop.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-wv.html

Right now the NHC is calling for a 30% change of development.  I thnik that in the next 48 hrs that the NHC will lower this down from orage to yellow as it passes through the dry air.  One this system passes through the dry air, it will now all depend on how much SAL it picks up.  Then again the law of physics will come into play for this system to redevelop and become something very very bad, but for now I don't think we need not worry about it until mid next week.  My prediction for this to become a depression will be maybe Aug 1st or 2nd, but this may be a dud.  I thinking that this season is following that like Lawkat said of the 1995 season.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tracks/1995atl.gif

If you notice alot of our systems have been in close proximity to the 1995 season with the exeption of Hurricane Allison in 1995.  

I'm thinking we need to be on the lookout for stuff popping up close to home, and with the clusters of quakes occuring in the PR region, I think this might be the next spot where we might need to look to.  tell me your thoughts...I'm just going with hunches and patterns at this point which sometimes works.
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P10L becomes 91L in mid-Atlantic - JAC, 7/29/2011, 7:12 am
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