Another chance of development from something to move across Yucatan into Bay of Campeche
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 9/16/2013, 9:21 pm
Chances are now up to 10% in 48 hours and 30% in 5 days. Even if it doesn't develop much, or at all, the rainfall will certainly add to the previous storms into that area.
"TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT MON SEP 16 2013
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID...LOCATED INLAND WEST OF LA PESCA MEXICO...AND ON TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO...LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES ISLAND.
1. SURFACE AND UPPER-AIR DATA INDICATE THAT A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS BROAD DISTURBANCE IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND BELIZE. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHERE IS HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AFTER THAT... ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO
FORECASTER STEWART"
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml |
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In this thread:
Another chance of development from something to move across Yucatan into Bay of Campeche - Chris in Tampa, 9/16/2013, 9:21 pm- Re: Another chance of development from something to move across Yucatan into Bay of Campeche - chucky7777, 9/17/2013, 11:46 pm
- Re: Another chance of development from something to move across Yucatan into Bay of Campeche - LawKat, 9/17/2013, 3:48 pm
- Re: Another chance of development from something to move across Yucatan into Bay of Campeche - DTB_2009, 9/17/2013, 9:23 am
- 2am EDT on Tuesday: 20% in 48hrs / 40% in five days - Chris in Tampa, 9/17/2013, 2:38 am
- Re: Another chance of development from something to move across Yucatan into Bay of Campeche - cypresstx, 9/16/2013, 10:05 pm
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