2am EDT on Tuesday: 20% in 48hrs / 40% in five days
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 9/17/2013, 2:38 am
The NHC mentions it possibly becoming nearly stationary at the end of the week.
"TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID...LOCATED INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...AND ON TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO...LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.
1. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED NEAR THE COAST OF BELIZE IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST- NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TODAY AND EMERGE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE BY TONIGHT. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE IN A DAY OR TWO...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE LOW IS LIKELY TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER IN THE WEEK...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOULD BE GENERALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THAT TIME. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO
FORECASTER BERG" |
165
In this thread:
Another chance of development from something to move across Yucatan into Bay of Campeche -
Chris in Tampa,
9/16/2013, 9:21 pm- Re: Another chance of development from something to move across Yucatan into Bay of Campeche - chucky7777, 9/17/2013, 11:46 pm
- Re: Another chance of development from something to move across Yucatan into Bay of Campeche - LawKat, 9/17/2013, 3:48 pm
- Re: Another chance of development from something to move across Yucatan into Bay of Campeche - DTB_2009, 9/17/2013, 9:23 am
- 2am EDT on Tuesday: 20% in 48hrs / 40% in five days - Chris in Tampa, 9/17/2013, 2:38 am
- Re: Another chance of development from something to move across Yucatan into Bay of Campeche - cypresstx, 9/16/2013, 10:05 pm
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