Re: Wow, there were a lot of people wrong on this one....
Posted by Skip Wiley on 9/1/2016, 10:13 pm
Yep, a lot of us (maybe just me) believed the models of 99L despite satellite evidence to the contrary.

We thought maybe the Euro which had been very accurate in the past so we jumped on it.

In the meantime, the GFS was being correct all along and a lot of people kept saying things like "model disagreement".

Then NHC dropped 99L chances and we said, victory to GFS and we jumped on the GFS bandwagon.

Then it did what the GFS said, gradual strengthing, and the Euro blew it up and we pointed out the recent Euro performance and said no way and we kept with the GFS forecast.  

Now the Euro was right in the very end and the GS was right in the beginning and middle. (see Jim's video last night for great sports analogy)

And in 2016, we still don't understand hurricanes as much as we think we do.

I posted how I thought this was dead and I was wrong in the long run.  Live and learn...
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Wow, there were a lot of people wrong on this one.... - beachman80, 9/1/2016, 9:52 pm
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