IN under-the-gun
Posted by
JAC on 6/19/2009, 11:50 am

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1232 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1027 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009 AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN LOWER MI INTO NRN AND CNTRL IND CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 191527Z - 191630Z THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL AND PERHAPS A COUPLE OF TORNADOES IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE THIS MORNING INTO AFTERNOON. A WW WILL BE REQUIRED. ONGOING STRONG/SEVERE STORMS OVER THE CHI METRO SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THIS MORNING WHILE MOVING/DEVELOPING EWD/SEWD INTO PARTS OF SWRN LOWER MI AND NRN IND. ADDITIONAL STORMS ATTEMPTING TO BECOME SUSTAINED FROM JUST NE PIA TO ENE BMI SHOULD ALSO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WHILE SHIFTING INTO CNTRL IND. ABOVE-MENTIONED STORMS WILL REMAIN FOCUSED ALONG AND N OF A WELL-DEFINED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM DNV TO NW OF LUK. GIVEN THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS AND POTENTIAL FOR RATHER STRONG DIABATIC HEATING...AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE LATER TODAY WITH MLCAPE APPROACHING 1500-2500 J/KG. CURRENT PROFILER DATA OVER NWRN IND N OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY INDICATES CONSIDERABLE VEERING IN THE LOWEST 2 KM WITH 50-55 KT OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. AS SUCH...ENVIRONMENT IS FORECAST TO BECOME INCREASINGLY SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELL AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL AND PERHAPS TORNADOES. ..MEAD.. 06/19/2009
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In this thread:
Friday Afternoon Severe Weather for IA, IL, IN -
JAC,
6/19/2009, 8:29 am- Large MCS approaching Chicago, 5000 CAPE, LI = -10 Ahead - JAC, 6/19/2009, 6:06 pm
- Mesoscale Convective System moves across southern Wisconsin - JAC, 6/19/2009, 1:44 pm
- IN under-the-gun - JAC, 6/19/2009, 11:50 am
- Shortwave amplifying --> SPC ups tornado potential - Chicago in bulls-eye - JAC, 6/19/2009, 10:36 am
- The setup - JAC, 6/19/2009, 9:15 am
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