Large pressure drop
Posted by
JAC on 6/19/2009, 7:08 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1241 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0537 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009 AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN IA / MUCH OF CNTRL-NRN IL / NWRN AND W-CNTRL IND CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 480... VALID 192237Z - 192330Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 480 CONTINUES. ENHANCED DMGG WIND POTENTIAL LIKELY TO EVOLVE AND SPREAD EWD ACROSS ERN IL / WRN IND THIS EVENING. RECENT TRENDS IN RADAR MOSAIC ARE SHOWING A LEWP DEVELOPING ACROSS ERN IA EXTENDING INTO NWRN IL WITH A BROKEN SQUALL LINE FROM 35 MI NNW ALN TO 40 MI ENE MLI. KOTM SURFACE OBSERVATION RECORDED SEVERE WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 KTS IN THE PAST HOUR. MESOANALYSIS SHOWS A SUB-SYNOPTIC 1000MB SURFACE LOW 15 MI SSE CID WITH AN EFFECTIVE WARM FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM 25 MI W OF RFD ESEWD THROUGH THE CHICAGO METRO TO 15 MI SW OF FWA. SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS OF 1-1.5 MB/HR HAVE BEEN NOTED ACROSS IL IN ADVANCE OF ERN MCS. AREAS E AND S OF MCS AND AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARIES /I.E. ERN HALF OF IL N OF I-70 AND E OF I-35-I-55/ HAVE BECOME MODERATELY-VERY UNSTABLE WITHIN A STRONG WLY AND DEEPLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. AS SUCH...EXPECTING STORMS/COLD POOL TO CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE WITH BOTH MCS/S. THE LEAD MCS WILL LIKELY POSE THE GREATEST THREAT FOR DMGG WINDS AS MS RIVER MCS INGESTS CONVECTIVELY OVERTURNED AIRMASS. A CONCENTRATED SWATH OF SEVERE/DMGG WINDS IS BECOMING MORE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS E-CNTRL AND NWRN IND. ..SMITH.. 06/19/2009
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In this thread:
Friday Afternoon Severe Weather for IA, IL, IN -
JAC,
6/19/2009, 8:29 am- Large MCS approaching Chicago, 5000 CAPE, LI = -10 Ahead - JAC, 6/19/2009, 6:06 pm
- Large pressure drop - JAC, 6/19/2009, 7:08 pm
- Mesoscale Convective System moves across southern Wisconsin - JAC, 6/19/2009, 1:44 pm
- IN under-the-gun - JAC, 6/19/2009, 11:50 am
- Shortwave amplifying --> SPC ups tornado potential - Chicago in bulls-eye - JAC, 6/19/2009, 10:36 am
- The setup - JAC, 6/19/2009, 9:15 am
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