Re: The message board has rapidly become blob happy
Posted by
JAC on 7/19/2009, 8:32 am
TC's don't develop in 15 minutes.
It takes time.
Waves interact with shear and develop MCS's.
But, this is a sign of possible further development down the road.
We are at the point in the season where blobs are important and we need to evaluate conditions down the road as possible development.
Patience and common sense are needed.
Atmosphere is very complicated and dynamic.
What may look like nothing will develop now could easily change in 12 to 24 hours.
As far as models are concerned; ignore any particular run as being gospel.
As Jim stated, they are useful in evaluating trends - period.
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