Re: 12N22W (Blob!)
Posted by JAC on 7/28/2009, 7:19 am
All the global models have been on this, one way or another, since Thursday.

Earlier, they were showing a cold-core.

Now, most are showing an evolution to a weak warm core.

It seems like if this takes a dive south into warm water it would have a chance to develop some deep convection.

Right now it looks like if there is any precip it is stratiform due to heavy SAL.

The amplitude on MIMIC-TPW is one of the highest I have seen come off Africa.

With the associated 1010mb low offshore; reminds me alot of Bertha last year.

If I remember correctly, Bertha had less SAL however and NHC put a box and invest on it almost immediately when it got out into the water.


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More Surface Lows developing off CV - JAC, 7/27/2009, 7:25 am
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