GOM setup
Posted by JAC on 8/14/2009, 7:50 am
The more I look at it, the more it makes sense.

Amplifying wave moving thru Carib, picking up higher theta-e air over the Cat5 generator.

Moving into the GOM where a cold front is pushing down with lots of convergence.

And in the middle of it sits a 1010mb low.

Actually, I am suprised HPC and NHC are not showing this low.

It is up on SPC Meso-analysis and current RUC conditions.

Lots of sharp mets have been talking about it.

CMC is just hinting at it, firing up in the Keys Saturday afternoon.

It is forecasting an anti-cyclone to build over it as it moves into the NE GOM.

A cautionary note: this is model spectulation at this point - nothing definitive.

One thing I have to say though, CMC has been doing an excellent job in forecasting shear and anti-cyclones this year.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cgi?time=2009081400&field=850mb+Vorticity&hour=Animation













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Yellow Box pooped out - maybe watch the wave in the mid / west Carib - JAC, 8/14/2009, 7:31 am
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