A new Yellow Box along front in NE GOM
Posted by JAC on 8/14/2009, 1:59 pm

I am a little suprised.

I just checked GRIII and the convection has died down to more stratiform precip with cloud tops around 20K-ft.








TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 14 2009



A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS PRODUCING AN
AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS FROM JAMAICA AND EASTERN CUBA
NORTHWARD INTO THE BAHAMAS.  THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD
WEST OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THERE
ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT
FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM.  THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.  SURFACE PRESSURES
ARE HIGH IN THIS AREA AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
30
In this thread:
Yellow Box pooped out - maybe watch the wave in the mid / west Carib - JAC, 8/14/2009, 7:31 am
< Return to the front page of the: message board | monthly archive this page is in
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.