Bump up in X-ray flux.
Posted by JAC on 8/19/2009, 10:27 am
This will be a good test to see if Bill responds and drops in intensity.

I would expect to see a delayed reaction; I am guesssing somewhere on the order of 6 to 12 hrs.

The model in my mind is a two step process:

1)  High 03 increase in the topopause from x-ray collisions with O2.
2)  Solar heating of the O3 thus increasing the tropopause pressure.

This in-turns pushing the top of the tropopause down into the troposphere thus squeezing the core of Bill.

Let's see what happens.







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Track is one thing, intensity forecast is another - JAC, 8/19/2009, 8:56 am
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