Watching MO & IA
Posted by JAC on 4/2/2010, 9:57 am


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0237
  NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
  0828 AM CDT FRI APR 02 2010
 
  AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN KS/WRN AND NRN MO/WRN AND CNTRL IA
 
  CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
 
  VALID 021328Z - 021500Z
 
  IT IS NOT CERTAIN THAT A WW WILL BE NEEDED...AT LEAST IN THE NEAR
  TERM...BUT CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.
 
  STRONGER MID/UPPER FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORT WAVE IMPULSE
  LIFTING OUT OF THE BASE OF APPROACHING LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL
  OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF THE MID/LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY BETWEEN NOW AND
  15-18Z.  VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING WITH THIS
  FEATURE...BUT IT IS NOT CLEAR THAT FORCING WILL BE ABLE TO GENERATE
  SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION TO SUPPORT A CONTINUING SEVERE THREAT AS
  IT DEVELOPS ACROSS AND AWAY FROM THE NORTHERN/LEADING EDGE OF A
  NARROW PRE-FRONTAL TONGUE OF WEAK GULF MOISTURE RETURN.
 
  ..KERR.. 04/02/2010
40
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May see a big system move across Conus around first weekend in April - JAC, 3/26/2010, 7:27 am
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