Re: 92L's Dance with the Devil
Posted by Jake on 6/16/2010, 7:56 am
Jac,

Read your points and have a few comments:

Hot Towers, will fire high base convection. However, in a high shear environment with little to no outflow on all quads will kill the convective process. And this will be the case during the afternoon.  

Enhanced out flow channels, there is no enhanced out flow channel. Due to no anticyclonic outflow on all quads. In order to get an enhanced outflow channel to intensify a system in this pattern, the core must be a few hundred miles SE of the jet axis and attached to an upper high in order for the system to benefit from this extreme ventilation. NOTE: Weak systems benefit little from an enhanced out flow channel until they become a well structured and mature cyclone.

92L will become a naked swirl. As it gets closer to the shear zone and diurnal convective process is lost. This is when you know that a system lacks true inflow. Any area with a convergence / difluent flow in the tropics at night will fire convection.

Agree with all other points. You do a great job.


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92L's Dance with the Devil - JAC, 6/16/2010, 6:28 am
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