Re: Jac you think 96L will develop?
Posted by JAC on 7/7/2010, 9:38 am
Good question, thanks for asking.

It has had a hard time up to now for a couple reasons.

1)  Core was very wide and low in altitude.
This is something I can't explain.  
I have been trying to look into this for a few years already.
I think it has to do with O3 concentrations in the tropopause.

2) 95L messed up inflow into 96L.
It didn't exchange heat effectively with the Cat5 Generator.
Also, CX posted a couple days ago an image that OHC was suddenly low over the Cat5 Gen.
Obviously, that did have an effect on 96L.

Right now a TUTT is to its NW which messes up UL outflow in the NW quad.

Have to watch MIMIC-TPW to see if a roll gets started.
Right now it is a very broad circulation, up to 500mb.

If it gets rolling then chances are good for development.

A couple really strong convective cells could do the trick, just like Alex.

Have to wait and see.

What do you think Stormlover?












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Jac you think 96L will develop? - stormlover, 7/7/2010, 12:45 am
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