CaneTalk: Re: 27L Flaring in the East Carib. WHY?????

Re: 27L Flaring in the East Carib. WHY?????

Posted by JAC on 8/17/2010, 9:58 am

Jake:

The instability is the thing that intrigues me with this.

Laterst sounding at 15N 70W looks good for continued deep convection to fire.

CAPE nearly 4000 with LI = -6.

To me, it looks like there is a small UL jet to the west; but GFS forecasts it to dissipate in 24 hrs.

The TUTT approaching from the east appears to me to be the main influencing factor in about 48 to 60 hrs.

Not saying it will develop for sure; just something to watch.

In this thread:

27L Flaring in the East Carib, but can it hold on in 60 hrs - JAC, 8/17/2010, 7:43 am

Latest GFS OW Forecast moves it closer to the channel - JAC, 8/18/2010, 10:19 am
CIMSS considers environment "good" as it moves into the West Carib - JAC, 8/17/2010, 10:43 pm
- Re: CIMSS considers environment "good" as it moves into the West Carib - BobbiStorm, 8/17/2010, 11:13 pm
  - 18N75W (Invest?) - Target, 8/18/2010, 3:07 am
    - Re: 18N75W (Invest?) - BobbiStorm, 8/18/2010, 8:47 am
      - Re: 18N75W (Invest?) - Hurricane Ranger, 8/18/2010, 12:47 pm
      - A challange - JAC, 8/18/2010, 8:56 am
        Re: A challange - Target, 8/18/2010, 9:05 am
        Re: A challange - JAC, 8/18/2010, 9:26 am
Hot Tower Firing over Haiti / DR Border - JAC, 8/17/2010, 4:43 pm
For this time of day: not too bad - JAC, 8/17/2010, 3:22 pm
PREDICT G-V Flight Scheduled for Wednesday - JAC, 8/17/2010, 1:46 pm
10% Yellow Box at 2PM TWO - JAC, 8/17/2010, 1:36 pm
- Re: 10% Yellow Box at 2PM TWO - BobbiStorm, 8/17/2010, 3:21 pm
  - Closest Buoy: Pressure dropping, winds picking up - JAC, 8/17/2010, 3:36 pm
- Re: 10% Yellow Box at 2PM TWO - Beaumont, 8/17/2010, 2:13 pm
  - Maybe - JAC, 8/17/2010, 2:26 pm
    - Re: Maybe - Conclue, 8/17/2010, 11:00 pm
      - Re: Maybe - JAC, 8/18/2010, 6:34 am
        Re: Maybe - Conclue, 8/18/2010, 10:40 am
        Re: Maybe - BobbiStorm, 8/18/2010, 8:54 am
- The Graphic - JAC, 8/17/2010, 1:39 pm
  - Re: The Graphic - BobbiStorm, 8/17/2010, 3:32 pm
Re: 27L Flaring in the East Carib. WHY????? - Jake, 8/17/2010, 8:58 am
- Re: 27L Flaring in the East Carib. WHY????? - JAC, 8/17/2010, 9:58 am
Euro forecasts low-shear - JAC, 8/17/2010, 8:07 am
Bubbling - JAC, 8/17/2010, 7:57 am
- Re: Bubbling - BobbiStorm, 8/17/2010, 8:18 am
Pouches need a good roll - JAC, 8/17/2010, 7:46 am
- Re: Pouches need a good roll - BobbiStorm, 8/17/2010, 8:19 am
  - Re: Pouches need a good roll - JAC, 8/17/2010, 8:34 am
    - Re: Pouches need a good roll - BobbiStorm, 8/17/2010, 3:34 pm
      - Caught in a Sweet Spot - JAC, 8/17/2010, 3:47 pm
        Re: Caught in a Sweet Spot - BobbiStorm, 8/17/2010, 4:02 pm
        Any doubts? - JAC, 8/17/2010, 4:37 pm
        okay so pin the tail on the center oh master jac - BobbiStorm, 8/17/2010, 5:21 pm
        Re: okay so pin the tail on the center oh master jac - JAC, 8/17/2010, 10:21 pm
        Re: Any doubts? - freesong, 8/17/2010, 4:44 pm
        Re: Any doubts? - JAC, 8/17/2010, 4:47 pm

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