Re: Models shifting east?
Posted by Gianmarc on 8/2/2011, 3:11 pm
Yep, I must admit, I was convinced a couple days ago that this system was GoM bound. Goes to show what a Nostradamus I am!!


This is why I caution people not to allow themselves to get whipped into a delirious frenzy about where in the US a storm may hit when it's merely a promising tropical wave a thousand miles east of the Lesser Antilles. At that point it could be bound for anywhere from South America to Nova Scotia, and it is absolutely pointless to pretend we have any reason to believe it's more likely to end up in one place more than another.

Now that many consecutive model runs have trended to the right, we see we actually had a fish on our hands all along, not a system bound for Florida or South Carolina or Long Island or anywhere else.
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Models shifting east? - beachman80, 8/2/2011, 2:54 pm
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