Re: HWRF and GFDL Shifted West in 18Z Run
Posted by
Chucktowner on 8/3/2011, 10:17 am
The hunters and thus the models haven't been able to come to grips with a closed, well defined, low-level center of circulation. If Emily develops a decent CoC that is obvious on the vis sat loops then the models will start to provide some applicable track / strength guidance. If the CoC remains in tact for 24-36 hrs, then and only then will I put any credence in the current track / strength models.
Without a defined CoC, the models are just crunching numbers and outputting spaghetti !
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