2 pm - Avila's take
Posted by
CypressTX on 8/6/2011, 1:51 pm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWOAT+shtml/061140.shtml
000
ABNT20 KNHC 061741
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
SATELLITE IMAGERY...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF EMILY...WHICH IS APPROACHING GRAND BAHAMA AND THE ABACOS...HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD BE FORMING. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM REGENERATING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS EN ROUTE TO DETERMINE IF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS FORMED. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND PRODUCE SQUALLS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TODAY. THIS SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE OPEN ATLANTIC ON SUNDAY.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/AVILA
keep an eye on Chris' recon
|
80
In this thread:
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.