Re: Redevelops Further North... official
Posted by Gianmarc on 8/21/2011, 10:06 am
I hear you. Definitely a possibility, as nearly anything is a possibility this early in the game. I myself am not so focused on the models right now as I am on the atmospheric conditions out ahead of Irene. To me, the water vapor loop of the southeast U.S. tells the tale--far too much trough activity off the southeast coast for a storm to get shoved west into the Georgia coastline IMO. You would need a ridge to build in north of Irene as she heads closer to the coastline. We see no evidence of that now, and we see the NHC forecasting a weakening ridge over the southeast, not a strengthening one.

WV Loop, southeast U.S.
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecwv.html
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Redevelops Further North... official - BobbiStorm, 8/21/2011, 1:54 am
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