Re: NHC blew intensity forecast BADLY...why
Posted by
Gianmarc on 8/22/2011, 8:52 pm
| I think it's pretty clear what happened here. Every one of the NHC's discussions of Irene has emphasized that intensity forecasting is even more unreliable with Irene than usual due to uncertainty about how much land interaction there would be. They explicitly conceded that their intensity forecast was conservative for that reason, and may prove to understate her intensity should she not interact with land as much as their forecast called for at the time. 24 hours ago this thing was still forecast to go over Hispaniola AND Cuba, enough top decimate a major, no less a cat 1/2. |
279
In this thread:
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.