From Miami NWS
Posted by
StaceyinBrevard on 8/23/2012, 4:08 pm
From Miami NWS office this afternoon- ALL EYES THEN TURN TO ISAAC FOR THE WEEKEND. MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT LOW PRESSURE MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...LEAVING A WEAKNESS IN THE SOUTHEAST AND ACROSS FLORIDA. THIS MAY HAVE AN IMPACT ON THE TRACK OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC. HOWEVER...THE OVERALL CONSENSUS OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE HAS MOVED SLIGHTLY WESTWARD FOR THE TRACK OF ISAAC...BUT STILL BRINGS THE CENTER VERY CLOSE TO THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA AND OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS. THERE IS STILL A LOT OF MODEL SPREAD AT THIS TIME...WITH MODELS GOING INTO SOUTHEAST FLORIDA OR INTO THE GULF THROUGH THE KEYS. THE ENTIRE REGION REMAINS IN THE CONE OF UNCERTAINTY AND ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AND PREPARE AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC NEARS THIS WEEKEND. IT IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY THAT AT THE VERY LEAST THAT SOUTH FLORIDA WILL RECEIVE HEAVY RAINFALL. HPC IS INDICATING RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4-8 INCHES AND LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS COULD BE POSSIBLE. SO FLOODING WILL BECOME A BIG CONCERN THE LATTER HALF OF THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND FLOOD WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR MUCH IF NOT ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. OTHERWISE...IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE OTHER SPECIFIC IMPACTS TO SOUTH FLORIDA...BUT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN AS EARLY AS SUNDAY ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA.
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In this thread:
Isaac very confusing -
LawKat,
8/23/2012, 3:55 pm- Re: Isaac very confusing - hillsboroughweather, 8/23/2012, 6:36 pm
- 2PM models - LawKat, 8/23/2012, 4:25 pm
- Re: Isaac very confusing - CX, 8/23/2012, 4:14 pm
- From Miami NWS - StaceyinBrevard, 8/23/2012, 4:08 pm
- Re: Isaac very confusing - Beachlover, 8/23/2012, 4:03 pm
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