Possible western Gulf system?
Posted by
Beachlover on 10/15/2019, 3:14 am
The TWO for 2 a.m. Tues. 10/15 hints at possible development that I can see no indication of on either GFS or ECMWF at this time (00z Tues.). Jim and/or others: Why do you suppose neither model would pick up on this, or am I missing something?
1. A trough of low pressure located over portions of Central America
and the northwestern Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. This system and another disturbance
over the eastern Pacific are expected to produce heavy rains over
a large portion of Central America during the next couple of days,
which could cause flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous
areas. By late Wednesday, the system is forecast to emerge over the
Bay of Campeche and then turn northward, and environmental
conditions could become a little more conducive for some development
towards the end of the week when the system is over the western
Gulf of Mexico.
Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
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Possible western Gulf system? - Beachlover, 10/15/2019, 3:14 am Post A Reply
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