forgot to add - 5-day is now 70%
Posted by cypresstx on 5/31/2022, 2:37 pm
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Near the Yucatan Peninsula and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:
A large and complex area of low pressure is expected to develop near
the Yucatan Peninsula and the northwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple
of days, partially related to the remnants of Agatha from the
eastern Pacific. Despite strong upper-level winds over the area,
this system is likely to become a tropical depression while it
moves northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and
southeastern Gulf of Mexico late Thursday or Friday. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of
southeastern Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala, and Belize
during the next couple of days, spreading across western Cuba,
southern Florida, and the Florida Keys on Friday and Saturday.
Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba, the Florida Keys
and the Florida Peninsula should monitor the progress of this
system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Brown/Bucci

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EastPAC's Agatha & Atlantic 5-day - cypresstx, 5/28/2022, 2:43 pm
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