Here we go - moderate risk for tornadoes
Posted by JAC on 5/7/2010, 3:40 pm


URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
  TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 143
  NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
  230 PM CDT FRI MAY 7 2010
 
  THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
  TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
 
         EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
         CENTRAL AND NORTHERN INDIANA
         SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
         WESTERN AND CENTRAL OHIO
         LAKE ERIE
 
  EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.
 
  TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
  GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
  AREAS.
 
  THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
  MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
  MATTOON ILLINOIS TO 50 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF MANSFIELD OHIO.
  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
  OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
 
  REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
  TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
  AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
  THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
  AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
 
  DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SOON ALONG A
  SURFACE COLD FRONT ACROSS EASTERN IL AND WESTERN IND.  ACTIVITY WILL
  LIKELY MOVE/DEVELOP EASTWARD ACROSS WATCH AREA THROUGH THE EVENING
  AS LARGE SCALE FORCING OVERSPREADS THE REGION.  SUFFICIENT MLCAPE
  VALUES AND STRONG SHEAR PROFILES SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR
  SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED
  TORNADOES.
 
  AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
  SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
  WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
  500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
 
 
  ...HART

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Moderate Moderate
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
High Moderate
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
High Moderate


Note:  See the experimental Public Watch (SEL) product with explicit hazard information section below. The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

  SEL3
 
  URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
  TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 143
  NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
  230 PM CDT FRI MAY 7 2010
 
  THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
  TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
 
         EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
         CENTRAL AND NORTHERN INDIANA
         SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
         WESTERN AND CENTRAL OHIO
         LAKE ERIE
 
  EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.
 
  SEVERAL TORNADOES
  ISOLATED INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS
  ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL
  ISOLATED HAIL TO 2.0 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
 
  THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
  MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
  MATTOON ILLINOIS TO 50 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF MANSFIELD OHIO.
  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
  OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
 
  REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
  TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
  AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
  THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
  AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
 
  DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SOON ALONG A
  SURFACE COLD FRONT ACROSS EASTERN IL AND WESTERN IND.  ACTIVITY WILL
  LIKELY MOVE/DEVELOP EASTWARD ACROSS WATCH AREA THROUGH THE EVENING
  AS LARGE SCALE FORCING OVERSPREADS THE REGION.  SUFFICIENT MLCAPE
  VALUES AND STRONG SHEAR PROFILES SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR
  SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED
  TORNADOES.
 
  AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
  SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
  WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
  500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
 
 
  ...HART

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Moderate Moderate
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
High Moderate
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
High Moderate


  SEL3
 
  URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
  TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 143
  NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
  230 PM CDT FRI MAY 7 2010
 
  THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
  TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
 
         EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
         CENTRAL AND NORTHERN INDIANA
         SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
         WESTERN AND CENTRAL OHIO
         LAKE ERIE
 
  EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.
 
  TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
  GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
  AREAS.
 
  THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
  MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
  MATTOON ILLINOIS TO 50 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF MANSFIELD OHIO.
  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
  OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
 
  REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
  TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
  AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
  THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
  AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
 
  DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SOON ALONG A
  SURFACE COLD FRONT ACROSS EASTERN IL AND WESTERN IND.  ACTIVITY WILL
  LIKELY MOVE/DEVELOP EASTWARD ACROSS WATCH AREA THROUGH THE EVENING
  AS LARGE SCALE FORCING OVERSPREADS THE REGION.  SUFFICIENT MLCAPE
  VALUES AND STRONG SHEAR PROFILES SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR
  SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED
  TORNADOES.
 
  AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
  SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
  WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
  500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
 
 
  ...HART

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Moderate Moderate
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
High Moderate
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
High Moderate


Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

  WOUS64 KWNS 071926
  WOU3
 
  BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
  TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 143
  NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
  230 PM CDT FRI MAY 7 2010
 
  TORNADO WATCH 143 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR THE
   FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
 
  ILC023-025-029-033-035-041-045-049-079-101-159-183-080300-
  /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0143.100507T1930Z-100508T0300Z/
 
  IL
  .    ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
 
  CLARK                CLAY                COLES              
  CRAWFORD             CUMBERLAND          DOUGLAS            
  EDGAR                EFFINGHAM           JASPER              
  LAWRENCE             RICHLAND            VERMILION          
 
 
  INC001-003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-027-031-033-035-039-
  041-045-047-049-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-
  083-085-087-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-113-119-121-131-
  133-135-139-141-145-149-151-153-157-159-161-165-167-169-171-177-
  179-181-183-080300-
  /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0143.100507T1930Z-100508T0300Z/
 
  IN
  .    INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
 
  ADAMS                ALLEN               BARTHOLOMEW        
  BLACKFORD            BOONE               BROWN              
  CARROLL              CASS                CLAY                
  CLINTON              DAVIESS             DECATUR            
  DELAWARE             DE KALB             ELKHART            
  FAYETTE              FOUNTAIN            FRANKLIN            
  FULTON               GRANT               GREENE              
  HAMILTON             HANCOCK             HENDRICKS          
  HENRY                HOWARD              HUNTINGTON          
  JACKSON              JAY                 JENNINGS            
  JOHNSON              KNOX                KOSCIUSKO          
  LAGRANGE             LAWRENCE            MADISON            
  MARION               MARSHALL            MARTIN              
  MIAMI                MONROE              MONTGOMERY          
  MORGAN               NOBLE               OWEN                
  PARKE                PULASKI             PUTNAM              
  RANDOLPH             RUSH                SHELBY              
  ST. JOSEPH           STARKE              STEUBEN            
  SULLIVAN             TIPPECANOE          TIPTON              
  UNION                VERMILLION          VIGO                
  WABASH               WARREN              WAYNE              
  WELLS                WHITE               WHITLEY            
 
 
  MIC023-027-059-091-115-149-161-163-080300-
  /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0143.100507T1930Z-100508T0300Z/
 
  MI
  .    MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
 
  BRANCH               CASS                HILLSDALE          
  LENAWEE              MONROE              ST. JOSEPH          
  WASHTENAW            WAYNE              
 
 
  OHC003-005-011-017-021-023-033-037-039-041-043-049-051-057-063-
  065-069-075-077-083-089-091-093-095-097-101-103-107-109-113-117-
  123-125-135-137-139-143-147-149-159-161-169-171-173-175-
  080300-
  /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0143.100507T1930Z-100508T0300Z/
 
  OH
  .    OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
 
  ALLEN                ASHLAND             AUGLAIZE            
  BUTLER               CHAMPAIGN           CLARK              
  CRAWFORD             DARKE               DEFIANCE            
  DELAWARE             ERIE                FRANKLIN            
  FULTON               GREENE              HANCOCK            
  HARDIN               HENRY               HOLMES              
  HURON                KNOX                LICKING            
  LOGAN                LORAIN              LUCAS              
  MADISON              MARION              MEDINA              
  MERCER               MIAMI               MONTGOMERY          
  MORROW               OTTAWA              PAULDING            
  PREBLE               PUTNAM              RICHLAND            
  SANDUSKY             SENECA              SHELBY              
  UNION                VAN WERT            WAYNE              
  WILLIAMS             WOOD                WYANDOT            
 
 
  LCZ423-LEZ142-143-144-145-162-163-164-165-444-080300-
  /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0143.100507T1930Z-100508T0300Z/
 
  CW
 
  .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
 
  DETROIT RIVER
 
  MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH
 
  RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH
 
  THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH
 
  VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH
 
  DETROIT RIVER LT. TO MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5NM
  OFFSHORE TO US/CANADIAN BORDER
 
  RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE TO US/CANADIAN
  BORDER
 
  THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE TO US/CANADIAN
  BORDER
 
  VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE TO US/CANADIAN
  BORDER
 
  MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI
 
  ATTN...WFO...ILX...DTX...CLE...IWX...ILN...IND...
 
 
 

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Moderate Moderate
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
High Moderate
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
High Moderate


Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

  SAW3
  WW 143 TORNADO IL IN MI OH LE 071930Z - 080300Z
  AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
  10WSW MTO/MATTOON IL/ - 50NNE MFD/MANSFIELD OH/
  ..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM N/S /27SE DEC - 14WNW CLE/
  HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
  MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
 
  LAT...LON 40728844 42798215 40188215 38118844
 
  THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
  COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
  FOR WOU3.
 

Watch 143 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

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Monday 5/10 - Potential Severe Outbreak Central Plains - JAC, 5/6/2010, 7:16 am
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