Re: Stu is stewing over it
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 7/27/2015, 11:48 pm
I don't think it has met the definition:

"A warm-core non-frontal synoptic-scale cyclone, originating over tropical or subtropical waters, with organized deep convection and a closed surface wind circulation about a well-defined center."

It was looking a little more interesting this evening:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/se.html
But the recent convection on satellite was pushed over the water from over land, so it's not like the center organized deep convection. And the radar shows less now, and not as well defined as earlier I would say around at a possible center:

http://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/fl/tampa/tbw/

I think it has been more of a trough for most of the day. NHC surface analysis still showed that:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/USA_00Z.gif
Looks like it is forecast to be on the other side of the state in 24 hrs. Shown there and also:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atlsfc24_latestBW_sm3.gif
And later dissipating:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atlsfc72_latestBW_sm3.gif

Although, the rain has died out everywhere else and the rain that does exist is nearer to the center, and it looks less troughy, although I couldn't point out exactly where a center is. I would say it is elongated still as a guess. That shear is really killer though. I'm surprised it is almost even kind of something. (Not too surprised the NHC has not had even a 0% recently due to that shear.)

Tampa satellite image:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/tbw.html
(not the greatest, from: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/)
83
In this thread:
GoM - Gianmarc, 7/26/2015, 7:44 pm
< Return to the front page of the: message board | monthly archive this page is in
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.