Sunday 0Z GFS moves very close to Antilles
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 9/3/2017, 12:04 am
Run still coming in as of posting this, but the important part is for the Antilles:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=watl&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn
We're talking less than 4 days away now, so shifts like this definitely matter.



Selected parts of NHC's 11pm AST advisory:



"Interests in the northern Leeward Islands should monitor the
progress of Irma."

"While Irma is currently a small hurricane, the size guidance
suggests it should grow in size during the next 72 h.  This will
affect how soon watches may be issued for portions of the Leeward
and Virgin Islands."

"Irma is expected to be a major hurricane when it moves closer to
the Lesser Antilles early next week, producing rough surf and rip
currents.  Irma could also cause dangerous wind, storm surge, and
rainfall impacts on some islands, although it is too soon to specify
where and when those hazards could occur.  Residents in the Lesser
Antilles should monitor the progress of Irma through the weekend and
listen to any advice given by local officials."



Also tonight the NHC said this:



"Tonight's NHC forecast
was adjusted a just little to the south of the previous one due to
another small shift of the guidance envelope."



And now we see another shift.
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Sunday 0Z GFS moves very close to Antilles - Chris in Tampa, 9/3/2017, 12:04 am
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