NY Times / Columbia University estimates, that are inherently uncertain, on what could happen based on measures taken
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 3/21/2020, 12:05 am
I guess this is something you could show people that don't think shutting things down is worth it. The interactive map they show, with estimated infection rates for every county based on the measures taken, isn't comforting. "The estimates are inherently uncertain". That's important to note. But it does show how this will be a long duration event, even if this were to be just one wave.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/20/us/coronavirus-model-us-outbreak.html



The coronavirus has infected far more people in the United States than testing has shown so far, and stringent measures to limit social contact in parts of the country not yet seeing many cases are needed to significantly stem the tide of illness and death in the coming months.

Those are the conclusions of Columbia University researchers who used a New York Times database of known cases and Census Bureau transportation data to model how the outbreak could evolve based on what is known about the virus. The estimates are inherently uncertain, and they could change as America adopts unprecedented measures to control the outbreak.
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Coronavirus - Thread #1 (Posts from February 29th - March 29th) - Chris in Tampa, 2/29/2020, 2:00 am
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