Maybe Bahamas???
Posted by JAC on 7/6/2009, 8:03 am

Pressures are dropping at the Canaveral Buoy and at Settlement Point.

Still a lot of shear though.

It will need to fire up some 60K-ft cells to generate an anti-cyclone and re-direct shear.

A chance:
Good instability in the Bahamas - High CAPE.
And it is amplifying nicely.
However, 700mb temps are borderline at 10C to initiate convection.

It needs some LL vorticity / convergence to fire and maintain convection.

Right now it's not there.

If something does develop in the Bahamas, it will be slow.

If not Bahamas, maybe west GOM in a couple more days as the wave continues west.



























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Wave in Carribean - Doorman, 7/5/2009, 5:25 pm
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