Two Waves with Character
Posted by
JAC on 7/17/2009, 7:20 am
Yellow Box on wave along 34W. Pushy sucker. Getting dry air out of its path.
Persistant Convection on wave along 54W. Doing battle with SAL.
Moderate LL vorticity on both and trying to dodge shear just to their north.
Looks like SAL is pooping out from the islands east.
Still strong in the Carib; but the dust should settle by the end of the weekend.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-wv.html
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT FRI JUL 17 2009
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUES IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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In this thread:
Two Waves with Character - JAC, 7/17/2009, 7:20 am- Interesting development at the end of this CMC run - JAC, 7/18/2009, 9:14 am
- San Juan Discussion - JAC, 7/17/2009, 8:05 pm
- Core warm now on 97L - JAC, 7/17/2009, 4:51 pm
- 56W Wave - JAC, 7/17/2009, 3:55 pm
- Models are like nicotine - JAC, 7/17/2009, 3:34 pm
- Air conditions for the 35W wave - JAC, 7/17/2009, 11:36 am
- Tuesday looks good SW of Hispaniola - JAC, 7/17/2009, 9:52 am
- A look down the road. - JAC, 7/17/2009, 7:39 am
- MIMIC-TPW - JAC, 7/17/2009, 7:25 am
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