CaneTalk: Models are like nicotine

Models are like nicotine

Posted by JAC on 7/17/2009, 3:34 pm

I just can't quit them.
Frustrating as hell.

CMC is consistantly developing the 56W wave and making it deeper into the Carib and eventually the GOM.

Scenario looks to be a mid-level LLC works its way to the surface near the Cat 5 Generator in 96 hrs.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cgi?time=2009071712&field=850mb+Vorticity&hour=Animation

GFS has it spinning a short time then dissipating in the Bahamas.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2009071712&field=850mb+Vorticity&hour=Animation

Helluva a lot of hot water in the GOM.

In this thread:

Two Waves with Character - JAC, 7/17/2009, 7:20 am

Interesting development at the end of this CMC run - JAC, 7/18/2009, 9:14 am
San Juan Discussion - JAC, 7/17/2009, 8:05 pm
Core warm now on 97L - JAC, 7/17/2009, 4:51 pm
- Re: Core warm now on 97L - sandy, 7/18/2009, 7:47 am
  - Re: Core warm now on 97L - hanna, 7/18/2009, 11:54 am
  - MIMIC-TPW - JAC, 7/18/2009, 8:57 am
- Re: Core warm now on 97L - CX, 7/17/2009, 4:55 pm
  - Re: Core warm now on 97L - JAC, 7/17/2009, 5:05 pm
- LLC still shows an open wave - JAC, 7/17/2009, 4:54 pm
56W Wave - JAC, 7/17/2009, 3:55 pm
- Yellow Box 2 - JAC, 7/17/2009, 7:40 pm
- Buoy to the NE: Winds shifting to SE - JAC, 7/17/2009, 7:01 pm
- LLC Vorticity picking up - JAC, 7/17/2009, 6:41 pm
- WV shows the Mid-Level Jet nicely slicing the top of the wave. - JAC, 7/17/2009, 3:59 pm
  - i know this is sacreligious but - BobbiStorm, 7/17/2009, 7:29 pm
    - Re: i know this is sacreligious but - JAC, 7/17/2009, 7:36 pm
      - Re: i know this is sacreligious but - sandy, 7/17/2009, 8:08 pm
        Re: i know this is sacreligious but - JAC, 7/17/2009, 8:31 pm
        Re: i know this is sacreligious but - Anung Mwka, 7/17/2009, 9:46 pm
      - Dang if they didn't put up a second yellow box. - JAC, 7/17/2009, 7:38 pm
Models are like nicotine - JAC, 7/17/2009, 3:34 pm
- Re: Models are like nicotine - BobbiStorm, 7/17/2009, 7:20 pm
- Re: Models are like nicotine - CypressTX, 7/17/2009, 3:50 pm
Air conditions for the 35W wave - JAC, 7/17/2009, 11:36 am
- Better looking water at 45W - JAC, 7/17/2009, 11:47 am
  - 97L invest - sandy, 7/17/2009, 1:10 pm
    - Initial look see shows a cold core - JAC, 7/17/2009, 1:31 pm
    - Re: 97L invest - JAC, 7/17/2009, 1:28 pm
      - floater is up - sandy, 7/17/2009, 1:41 pm
        Re: floater is up - JAC, 7/17/2009, 1:58 pm
Tuesday looks good SW of Hispaniola - JAC, 7/17/2009, 9:52 am
A look down the road. - JAC, 7/17/2009, 7:39 am
- Here's what to watch for - JAC, 7/17/2009, 7:47 am
MIMIC-TPW - JAC, 7/17/2009, 7:25 am
- Re: MIMIC-TPW - B-Lowcountry, 7/17/2009, 10:06 am
  - VIS - JAC, 7/17/2009, 10:50 am
    - About 5-knots shear over this one - JAC, 7/17/2009, 11:00 am
- Dust View - JAC, 7/17/2009, 7:58 am

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