San Juan Discussion
Posted by
JAC on 7/17/2009, 8:05 pm
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 346 PM AST FRI JUL 17 2009
.DISCUSSION... ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR AND DRIFTED WESTWARD INTO THE MONA PASSAGE. SHOWERS REMAINED WIDELY SCATTERED OVER LAND IN GENERAL. WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR TONIGHT WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE EAST WINDS AND ISOLATED PATCHES OF MOISTURE THAT WILL CROSS THE AREA AT TIMES. FOR SATURDAY MORNING DRY WEATHER IS STILL EXPECTED AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON SINCE SUBSIDENCE AND NEGATIVE VORTICITY ADVECTION ARE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MODERATE TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 55 WEST. LOW LEVEL NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR LIMITED CONVECTION ALONG THE WEST SOUTHWEST SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL START TO DETERIORATE ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS SATURDAY NIGHT WITH SHOWERS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY WINDS PREVAILING THROUGH SUNDAY. PUERTO RICO SHOULD ALSO SEE ITS FAIR SHARE OF WEATHER AS THE TROPICAL WAVE CROSSES THE AREA ON SUNDAY. THE WAVE TAIL AND ITS RESIDUAL MOISTURE SHOULD LINGER ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE THE NEXT AND STRONGER TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 36 WEST ARRIVES ON TUESDAY. A LARGE TAIL OF MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO STAY BEHIND THE SECOND WAVE.
MARINE...A MODERATE TO FRESH EAST TO NORTHEAST TRADE WIND FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY WHICH SHOULD REQUIRE SMALL CRAFT TO EXERCISE CAUTION. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AFTER THE PASSAGE OF A TROPICAL WAVE LATE SATURDAY/EARLY SUNDAY.
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In this thread:
Two Waves with Character -
JAC,
7/17/2009, 7:20 am- Interesting development at the end of this CMC run - JAC, 7/18/2009, 9:14 am
- San Juan Discussion - JAC, 7/17/2009, 8:05 pm
- Core warm now on 97L - JAC, 7/17/2009, 4:51 pm
- 56W Wave - JAC, 7/17/2009, 3:55 pm
- Models are like nicotine - JAC, 7/17/2009, 3:34 pm
- Air conditions for the 35W wave - JAC, 7/17/2009, 11:36 am
- Tuesday looks good SW of Hispaniola - JAC, 7/17/2009, 9:52 am
- A look down the road. - JAC, 7/17/2009, 7:39 am
- MIMIC-TPW - JAC, 7/17/2009, 7:25 am
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