Re: High Probability...
Posted by BobbiStorm on 7/21/2009, 9:01 am
That something is going to develop in that area.

I find it more interesting actually...that the GFS develops a STRONG Epac system going the distance. But, let's stay in this side of the basin.

I've said the area is ripe, it's warm, it's moist, it's active... all along the East Coast of Florida from the SC/GA line down through the Bahamas there has been in Bobbi terms.. a "weather boundary" and weather flares up and pressures can't be that high and everything is moving up through that area.. It would stand to reason that if there was a hand off of energy from a tropical wave moving along the wavy corridor that the area north of Cuba would become energized and find lots of tropical food to feed it's system in that region.

The models have been begging for it for days.

You can't have a frontal boundary leave that much moisture over warm water that long w/o the chance of something forming.

Two days ago there was more red over Florida than over most tropical storms.

And...the models have been begging for it.

Lyons ignored great African waves to keep highlighting this area even when nothing was or is spinning.

And, it that area is "mid-level" that in itself is interesting as... last time I looked cyclonic spin in that area was upper level on ye olde water vapor loop...
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Should we be looking farther north? - JAC, 7/21/2009, 7:18 am
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