Re: Florence Cat 5 landfall probability rising
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 9/10/2018, 1:09 am
For the first time, the 8pm Sunday (0Z Monday) run of the GFS shows the storm moving inland and not emerging back out over water:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=atl&pkg=mslp_pcpn
All the previous runs of the storm had it eventually moving back over water (if it made landfall), and sometimes impacting other parts of the NE and/or Canada. It's still uncertain what might happen after its first landfall, but the GFS is not showing any turn that would prevent landfall and hasn't recently. People along the Atlantic coast into the NE and Canada need to watch out in case it were to reemerge, but I mention the change in the GFS only because it had been showing different things in the past few days. Whatever intensity this storm is, the models indicate landfall is going to happen. And with recon data in the models, there isn't likely to be any major change to that. The question is how strong. |
225
In this thread:
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.