Re: Florence Cat 5 landfall probability rising
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 9/10/2018, 1:47 am
Whether it was a 4, or a 5, it would be catastrophic.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php

People need to prepare for a catastrophic landfalling hurricane, which is what is forecast by the NHC. Whether it is more or less likely to be a 4 or 5 doesn't have any impact on whether you should evacuate directly along the coast. I'm not familiar with flood zones there, but there might be some additional evacuations due to surge if an even stronger storm is forecast in the next day or so, but that would be further inland. No one should stay along the coast. You have to go by the forecast. You would likely not know if it will be stronger or weaker until just before landfall, long after everyone should have evacuated the area. When evacuation orders are given, people shouldn't wait to see if the forecast changes any. Everyone can't wait until the last moment to leave or else there would be a lot of traffic on roads. Some of this doesn't apply to your question, but I thought I would mention it anyway.
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Florence Cat 5 landfall probability rising - LawKat, 9/9/2018, 10:57 pm
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