CaneTalk: HMON: Hurricane Arthur by NC Monday Morning

HMON: Hurricane Arthur by NC Monday Morning

Posted by Target on 5/17/2020, 2:40 am

My concern is that the recent cold temperatures up north might bring a new dynamic into the storm that is not yet fully understood, and it may not model well.

Ocean areas with cooler SST's might yield more power because of the temperature difference between air masses.

Disclaimer: This is just one run of one model. Listen to local advisories. Tracking storms is a hobby of mine.

In this thread:

First Storm Near Carolina Coastline? - Target, 5/10/2020, 9:32 pm

11:00 AM AST Tue May 19 - Post-Tropical, Last Advisory - cypresstx, 5/19/2020, 12:21 pm
Is Arthur going to loop and come back to visit over the holiday week? - AquaRN, 5/18/2020, 12:11 pm
for 1st storm of Atlantic season - cypresstx, 5/18/2020, 9:42 am
Re: First Storm Near Carolina Coastline? - AquaRN, 5/17/2020, 12:53 pm
- Re: First Storm Near Carolina Coastline? - Beachlover, 5/17/2020, 4:51 pm
  - Re: First Storm Near Carolina Coastline? - Target, 5/17/2020, 6:06 pm
    - Chris added Funktop as an option in recon layers - cypresstx, 5/17/2020, 7:38 pm
      - Re: Chart Testing - O/T - Chris in Tampa, 5/17/2020, 8:43 pm
        you're amazing Chris - cypresstx, 5/17/2020, 8:59 pm
        Re: you're amazing Chris - Chris in Tampa, 5/18/2020, 7:35 am
5am EDT Sunday: Tropical storm warning issued for North Carolina Outer Banks for Arthur - Chris in Tampa, 5/17/2020, 5:44 am
Now Tropical Depression One - Chris in Tampa, 5/16/2020, 6:25 pm
Atlantic - Special TWO - cypresstx, 5/12/2020, 1:58 pm
- Wed 5/13 AM - 0/70% over 2/5 days - cypresstx, 5/13/2020, 9:40 am
  - Thur 5/14, 2:40PM EDT - Special TWO - 70/80% over 2/5 days - cypresstx, 5/14/2020, 3:33 pm
    - Fri 5/15, 2 PM EDT - Special TWO - 80/80% over 2/5 days - cypresstx, 5/15/2020, 2:51 pm
      - HWRF: 50 kt Super Storm Monday Morning - Target, 5/16/2020, 12:15 am
        HWRF: Hurricane Arthur Tuesday Morning - Target, 5/16/2020, 9:16 am
        Offshore Waters Forecast (Mid Atlantic) - cypresstx, 5/16/2020, 9:47 am
        recon mission 1 into 90L - cypresstx, 5/16/2020, 11:14 am
        Satellite - GeoColor - tvsteve, 5/16/2020, 12:31 pm
        HMON: Hurricane Arthur by NC Monday Morning - Target, 5/17/2020, 2:40 am
        Re: HMON: Hurricane Arthur by NC Monday Morning - jimw, 5/17/2020, 9:34 am
        Re: HMON: Hurricane Arthur by NC Monday Morning - Beachlover, 5/17/2020, 4:49 pm
        Re: HMON: Hurricane Arthur by NC Monday Morning - Beachlover, 5/18/2020, 1:35 am
        Re: HMON: Hurricane Arthur by NC Monday Morning - jimw, 5/18/2020, 4:58 pm
        Re: HMON: Hurricane Arthur by NC Monday Morning - Beachlover, 5/19/2020, 12:59 am
        Re: HMON: Hurricane Arthur by NC Monday Morning - hurricane, 5/18/2020, 10:59 pm
        HMON: Hurricane Arthur Tuesday - Target, 5/18/2020, 11:22 pm
        Arthur was just on the edge of becoming a hurricane - Target, 5/25/2020, 1:31 am
        Check out the satellite loops... - Target, 5/17/2020, 10:27 am
        and Rutger's SSTs - Target, 5/17/2020, 11:54 am
        TCHP - cypresstx, 5/17/2020, 12:08 pm
        Depth 26.C Isotherm - cypresstx, 5/17/2020, 12:14 pm
        Last Week's Depth 26.C Isotherm - Target, 5/17/2020, 2:35 pm

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