Re: The weather nightmare before Christmas - from Bob Henson and Jeff Masters
Posted by
Fred on 12/20/2022, 8:07 pm
Strong winds and coastal flooding for my area
NYZ079>081-178-179-212230- /O.NEW.KOKX.CF.A.0002.221223T1000Z-221224T0600Z/ Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk- Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 341 PM EST Tue Dec 20 2022
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...One to three feet of inundation above ground level possible in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline.
* WHERE...Northeast Suffolk, Southwest Suffolk, Southeast Suffolk, Southern Queens and Southern Nassau Counties.
* WHEN...From late Thursday night through late Friday night.
* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...There is potential for widespread moderate to major flooding of vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline. There is potential for 2 to 3 feet of inundation above ground level in low lying, vulnerable areas, which would result in numerous road closures and cause widespread flooding of low lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns and homes/businesses with basements near the waterfront. A few buildings and homes near the waterfront could experience flooding. Vehicles parked in vulnerable areas near the waterfront will likely become flooded. Flooding could also extend inland from the waterfront along tidal rivers and bays.
* SHORELINE IMPACTS...Along the ocean front, 10 to 15 ft breakers (highest across eastern Long Island) will likely result in widespread beach flooding and erosion during the times of high tide. Areas of dune base erosion and localized overwashes are likely as well. Along the south shore of the north fork of Long Island, particularly Orient Point, 3 to 6 ft breaking waves will result in beach erosion and erosion of dune structures. Wave splashover of dune structures and bulkheads is possible in spots, which would cause flooding of roadways and vulnerable structures behind protective structures.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...How widespread the major flooding will be on Friday morning will depend on the direction and strength of winds through the time of high tide. This will be refined over the next 48 hours. There is also potential for isolated minor flooding during the Thursday Night high tide. There is potential for residual minor to moderate coastal flooding along eastern portions of the Great South Bay with the Friday Night high tide.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
My town
GREAT SOUTH BAY AT LINDENHURST NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.1 FT, MODERATE 3.6 FT, MAJOR 4.1 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.5 FT, MODERATE 2.0 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT
TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 20/07 PM 1.0/ 1.5 -0.7/-0.2 -0.2/ 0.3 1 NONE 21/08 AM 1.6/ 2.0 0.0/ 0.5 0.2/ 0.7 1 NONE 21/08 PM 1.3/ 1.8 -0.3/ 0.2 0.2/ 0.7 1 NONE 22/08 AM 1.6/ 2.0 0.0/ 0.5 0.1/ 0.6 1 NONE 23/09 AM 3.9/ 4.4 2.2/ 2.7 2.3/ 2.8 1-3 MAJOR
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