Re: Update Caribbean Disturbance
Posted by Jake on 6/21/2012, 7:52 am
The disturbance remains disorganized, but this was no surprise as strong westerly winds across the NW Caribbean and GOM has hindered development. In addtion, a complex pattern of shear, ULL's and competing low -mid level circulations have further slowed the gathering process.

However, it appears that a tropical low will begin to gather between the Yucatan and Western Cuba / Extreme SE GOM under a slowly improving upper pattern, deep layer moisture and warm SST's. Once the large mass of storms in the Yucatan channel moves into the SE gulf today, a moderately strong low-mid level vortex near the Yucatan will merge with the vortex in the southern gulf and development should begin thereafter.
157
In this thread:
Caribbean Disturbance - Jake, 6/19/2012, 8:52 pm
< Return to the front page of the: message board | monthly archive this page is in
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.