Re: Caribbean Disturbance
Posted by Shalista on 6/21/2012, 12:04 pm
Well the GFS, and CMC, and ECMWF all say yes something is about to develop out there beginning next week, it's a matter of timing, I've seen nothing change yet, but I am sure that the shear factor will let up.

Looking at GFS, it has this system developing on the 24th, and heading towards Tampa area by the 26th as a strong TS or weak cat 1.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2012062012&field=850mb+Vorticity&hour=Animation

Thoughts anyone?
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Caribbean Disturbance - Jake, 6/19/2012, 8:52 pm
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